Nargiza Umarova contributed expert commentary to an analytical article published by Amwaj.media, examining the implications of tightening US sanctions against Iran for Central Asia’s transport connectivity, trade relations, and economic diversification strategies.
The article explores how Washington’s “Operation Economic Outcast” could reshape regional trade routes by increasing financial, logistical, and insurance-related risks associated with transit through Iran. Nargiza Umarova emphasised that, despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, Central Asian countries continue to utilise Iranian transport corridors. In particular, she noted that Uzbekistan transported more than 700,000 tonnes of cargo to Western countries and over 670,000 tonnes to Türkiye via Iran last year. She also highlighted the continued development of the Southern Railway Corridor linking Europe with Central Asia through Türkiye and Iran, underscoring its strategic importance for regional connectivity.
Addressing the potential consequences of expanded US sanctions, Umarova identified the banking sector as particularly vulnerable, warning that additional restrictions could create new challenges for financial institutions across Central Asia. Nevertheless, she stressed that regional countries remain committed to diversifying their international transport connections, rather than relying on any single transit route or external partner.
The analysis further highlights Uzbekistan’s strategic interest in maintaining access to Iranian corridors connecting the country with Türkiye and European markets, while simultaneously advancing alternative routes, including the planned Trans-Afghan railway. Nargiza Umarova’s observations underscore the importance of developing a diversified and resilient transport network capable of safeguarding Central Asia’s economic interests amid growing geopolitical uncertainty.
* The Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS) does not take institutional positions on any issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the IAIS.
